A Day of Institutional “Sell” and “Buy” Crossing Paths

BABYMONSTER to Perform at 2024 Tencent Music Entertainment Awards ... On January 8, Tencent Music Entertainment Group (ADR) (TME) closed on the New York Stock Exchange at $17.49, up 5.48% from the previous day. Its market capitalization rose to approximately $10.08 billion, adding about $584 million in a single session. Trading volume exceeded 3.5 million shares, surpassing the norm, as institutional investors’ 13F filings for Q3 ignited a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers.

One Side Cut 23% While the Other Increased 175%

Institutional Trading According to filings published on January 7: - Hong Kong–based E Fund Management Hong Kong Co., Ltd. reduced its TME stake by roughly 23.8%, selling about 72,000 ADSs and trimming its portfolio weight in the company. - Dutch asset manager Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. boosted its TME position by 174.9% in Q3, acquiring approximately 3.38 million additional ADSs to bring its total holdings above 5.31 million shares.

Despite Opposing Moves, Market Bets on Demand Recovery

Even with contrasting institutional flows, TME’s share price swung in favor of buyers. Investors focused on the fact that online music revenue in Q3 2025 grew over 27% year-on-year, driven by subscription services and live events. With regulatory risks in China easing and improved ROCE (return on capital employed)—thanks to synergies within the Tencent ecosystem—some institutions took profits while other long-term funds scooped up shares, reflecting market confidence in a sustained recovery.

Global Music Data Inclusion Spurs Revaluation Expectations

At the end of last year, TME partnered with Luminate—Billboard’s chart data provider—to integrate Chinese music data from QQ Music, Kugou, Kuwo and JOOX into global chart systems. As China-centered streaming and social entertainment businesses become part of the global music data landscape, analysts expect TME’s profitability and brand value to be re-rated. While the 5% surge on January 8 was catalyzed by institutional filings, beneath the surface lies a broader market bet on growth recovery and expanded global exposure.